Pages

Wednesday, May 1, 2013

How The Bhutanese miscalculated inflation

Every year prices increase in Bhutan. This is inflation. Here are the inflation figures from the last 5 years, as taken from an article on Bhutan's inflation in The Bhutanese.
  • 2008: 8.31%
  • 2009: 4.41%
  • 2010: 7.02 % 
  • 2011: 8.86% 
  • 2012: 10.93%.
The inflation from 2008 to 2012 was 46.1%. According to the article, however, it was 39.5%. The reporter calculated that number by wrongly adding the percentages. This is a mistake.

Imagine that the annual inflation is 20%. If one kg of ema costs Nu 100, the next year the price inflates to Nu 120. And the next year? 20% on top of Nu 120, which is Nu 144. The total inflation in two years was 44%, not 40%.

If you do the math right, you'll end up with a 5-year cumulative inflation of 46.1%, not 39.5%.

Other figures in the story are also misleading. Hopefully the paper will publish a revised article with the correct numbers.

No comments:

Post a Comment

We love to hear from our readers!
Comments are reviewed before being published, so it might take a few hours before you see your comments posted.

Note: Only a member of this blog may post a comment.